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Sacramento Jesuit MS – Affirmative – MEDFLAGS

Contention I Inherency

The US and China are fighting a political war for regional interests in Sub-Saharan Africa, and China is winning control of regional anchor states. Absent action by the US, our interests will be lost Lovelace 07 (Douglas, Director of Strategic Studies Institute, Forward to “Political Warfare in Sub-Saharan Africa”, March)

Africa today has emerged … warfare and uses it seriously.

And, this political warfare is waged through methods such as public health aid and education Chau 07 (Donovan, MOState Department of Defense and Strategic Studies, Expert in threats emerging from Africa for AMTI (an ex-special ops security group), “Political Warfare in Sub-Saharan Africa” March)

A clear, concise, and …peoples and cultures.19

We have political warfare capabilities – for example, air force MEDFLAG operations to give public health assistance Chau 07 (Donovan, MOState Department of Defense and Strategic Studies, Expert in threats emerging from Africa for AMTI (an ex-special ops security group), “Political Warfare in Sub-Saharan Africa” March)

The U.S. Air Force also …. within its support units.

However, these programs don’t work – a lack of DOD interest in health operations keeps them under-sized Carafano and Gardiner, 2003 (James Jay, Senior Research Fellow for National Security and Homeland Security in the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International Studies, and Nile is Jay Kingham Fellow in International Regulatory Affairs in the Center for International Trade and Economics, at the Heritage Foundation, “US military Assistance for Africa: A better solution,” http://www.heritage.org/Research/Africa/bg1697.cfm)

U.S. military strategy is ,… attention and resources.

The Department of Defense should establish yearly MEDFLAG exercises in Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, and South Africa.

Contention II is Hege

China is turned towards Africa as the key to it’s major foreign policy objective – the acquisition of global leadership and hegemony Chau 07 (Donovan, MOState Department of Defense and Strategic Studies, Expert in threats emerging from Africa for AMTI (an ex-special ops security group), “Political Warfare in Sub-Saharan Africa” March)

Chairman Mao Tse-tung …achieve great power status.

And, China is winning the political war – they are currently succeeding in Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, and South Africa, which are the key strategic states in Africa Chau 07 (Donovan, MOState Department of Defense and Strategic Studies, Expert in threats emerging from Africa for AMTI (an ex-special ops security group), “Political Warfare in Sub-Saharan Africa” March)

Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, … and scientific fields.

These diplomatic exertions are tied to China’s military buildup and push for global leadership Pan 06 (Esther, Council on Foreign Relations, May 18, “China’s Soft Power Initiative”)

Introduction China's much-noted …; it’s China wielding a club.”

That devastates US leadership; it’s a zero-sum tradeoff O’Connell 06 (Meghan, UPI, “China Threatens to Rival American Power Status”, June 22, http://www.spacewar.com/reports/China_Threatens_To_Rival_American_Power_Status.html)

China's rapid military … growth would itself have a global impact."

The collapse of US dominance causes an apolar power vacuum and multiple scenarios for nuclear transition wars Ferguson 04 (Niall, Professor of History at New York University's Stern School of Business and Senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, “A world without power,” Foreign Policy 143, p. 32-39, July-August)



Independently, Chinese hege collapses our ability to maintain trade deals and resource connections Zweig and Jianhai 05 (David, director of the center on China’s Transnational Relations at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, and Bi, postdoctoral fellow at the same location, Foreign Affairs, “China’s Global Hunt for Energy”, September/October, http://fullaccess.foreignaffairs.org/20050901faessay84503/david-zweig-bi-jianhai/china-s-global-hunt-for-energy.html)

The United States has … assume that Australia would help it defend Taiwan against a Chinese military

Africa is the future of global oil supplies – trade connections are key to prevent shortages Shinn 07 (David, CSIS Africa Policy writer, “Africa, China, the United States, and Oil” May 8,)

The 53 countries in Africa possess only 9 percent … comes from the Middle East.

Supply shortages cause oil price hikes Williams 05 (James, WTRG Economics, “History and Analysis – Crude Oil Prices” http://www.wtrg.com/prices.htm)

Crude oil prices behave … reminiscent of the late 1970s.

That decks the domestic economy – no more stable labor markets The Economist 04 (April 23)

China is already on the verge of overheating. But inflationary much frayed as in tatters.

And that tanks the global economy Stein 02 (Charles, Business Columnist for the Globe, Boston Globe , March 31, Lexis)

A coincidence? No waywhen we stop buying,… these countries stop selling. And growing.

Impact is shootouts and extinction Bearden 00 T.E., LTC U.S. Army (Retired), [“The Unnecessary Energy Crisis: How to Solve It Quickly,” http://www.freerepublic.com/forum/a3aaf97f22e23.htm, June 24]

History bears out that desperate nations take …for many decades.

Unchecked Chinese presence in Africa cause skyrocketing small-arms sales – US is key to human rights standards in weapons sales. Pan 07 (Esther, Council on Foreign Relations, “China, Africa, and Oil” January 26)

Selling arms to African … and uses them as a foreign policy tool.

Unchecked small arms sales cause child soldier use Human Rights Watch 06 Human Rights Watch, Facts About Child Soldiers, 2006 http://www.humanrightswatch.org/campaigns/crp/facts.htm

Children are uniquely … and can be used by children as easily as adults.

That’s dehumanizing and psychologically abusive in the worst ways Stohl 00 Rachel, Child Soldiering is the Worst Form of Child Labor, Center for Defense Information, June 22, 2000 http://www.cdi.org/friendlyversion/printversion.cfm?documentID=582

As with other … combat activities

Contention III is Solvency

Military medical operations are a cheap and effective method of engagement and establish us politically – we control empirics on this question Carroll 01 (Terry, Colonel in US Army, “Engagement or Marriage: The Case for an Expanded Military Medical Role in Africa)

Just as the NSS provides … synchronize efforts worldwide.

MEDFLAG exercises are effective tools for political warfare and defense strategy – experts conclude they’re the single most important way for the US to access Africa Fox 97 (William Jr, Army Lieutenant Colonel, Special Forces officer and flight surgeon, “Military Medical Operations in Sub-Saharan Africa” June 24)

But, if such an … recent MEDFLAG missions.

Also, US military intervention in sub-Saharan Africa is inevitable; the only question is how we shape our policy Schaefer 07, Heritage Foundation, 2.7. (Brett, “Creating an Africa Command,” http://www.heritage.org/Research/Africa/wm1349.cfm)

Africa is no longer a distant … in the region in coming years.

And, Even they you win a world without hegemony is better, they still lose – getting there would mean massive transition wars across the globe Posen and Ross 97 (Barry Posen, Professor of Political Science in the Defense and Arms Control Studies Program at MIT, Andrew Ross, Professor of National Security Studies at the Naval War College, International Security, Winter 1997)

The United States can, more …even for those not directly involved.

The impact to these wars is extinction Nye 90, Former Dean of Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, Bound to Lead p. 17 1990

Perceptions of … know it may end.

Underestminating China is the single greatest danger and is a legitimate threat to security; their alternative would uniquely increase the possibility of war. Mearsheimer 05 (John, prof. of polisci at U of Chicago, November 18, The Australian, “The Rise of China Will Not Be Peaceful at All”, lexis)

THE question at hand is …… which is sure to infuriate China and fuel the security competition between Beijing and Washington.